Let's calculate the mean of a discrete random variable:
Below is the probability distribution for a golfer on a par 3 hole, where x = Number of Strokes to Complete Course
Figure 1. |
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The mean can be calculated by multiplying each "x" by each "P(x)", then adding the resulting values together:
Figure 2. |
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Here, the mean is 2.65
The mean we just calculated of 2.65 is an expected value. If we were to take a large enough sample of this golfer’s performance on par 3 holes, we expect his mean to approach 2.65.
This is a short example of the Law of Large Numbers.